tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4004381248378157742.post4307714983130287757..comments2008-09-12T15:26:29.864+01:00Alastairhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15152292130415788120noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4004381248378157742.post-82388295614749943342008-09-11T19:31:00.000+01:002008-09-11T19:31:00.000+01:00Apologies to engineers! I only meant to report that people who emailed me and self-identified as engineers (often "experienced" or "retired") were a surprisingly large number of the people who demanded to know why they couldn't find a page on the Web with a simple calculation of greenhouse warming. I don't think they are typical of engineers in general and regret the implied insult. Engineers are great!<BR/><BR/>As you know, I agree with you that computer models are problematic. But I think you deeply undervalue the very important successes they have had in actual prediction. Given that they predict -- not a certainty to be sure -- but a large risk of bad stuff, and that many things outside of climate models point in the same direction, it's shortsighted to dismiss the modelers as fools. Clearly I'm not going to change your mind on this, however.Spencer Wearthttp://www.aip.org/history/climatenoreply@blogger.com